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Post by smash on Jan 10, 2008 16:12:38 GMT -5
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Post by smash on Jan 10, 2008 16:14:37 GMT -5
ATP/WTA Player Watch Pre-Tournament. ATP: Federer contracted a stomach bug, forcing him out of Kooyong. However, the Swiss has since been seen practicing at Melbourne Park, and says he would consider himself "a hundred per cent" - australianopen.com; Monaco took the doubles title in Auckland, and could be forgiven for feeling exhausted. The Argentine played 3 doubles matches, and a singles match, over 48 hours, to a Saturday finish; Grosjean has niggling shoulder problems which first surfaced during the off-season...the heavy balls aren't doing him any favours; Olivier Rochus has a shoulder problem which could stay with him for the rest of his career. The Belgian admitted to needing a cortisone injection to be able to play pre-Australian Open events, and, after feeling more pain during a recent practice session, he took some anti-inflammatories. The joint is worst affected when reaching for balls above shoulder height, and the heavy balls used at this event shouldn't make it any less painful for him; Nalbandian had muscle spasms in his back, which forced his withdrawal from Kooyong; Doubts as to what injury Kiefer has been carrying...please see lephter's contribution, below; Del Potro cited a back injury for his withdrawal from Adelaide doubles, following a comprehensive defeat at the hands of Russell, in the singles. He pulled out of Sydney citing the same problem, and remains a doubt for his R1 match with Ventura. In-play.
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Post by smash on Jan 10, 2008 16:16:31 GMT -5
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Post by smash on Jan 10, 2008 16:20:36 GMT -5
Daily Order of Play. * Main draw singles only. Monday 14th January 2008. TBA
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Post by smash on Jan 11, 2008 16:50:34 GMT -5
Not wasting ANY time with my first bet of the AO. R1 card looks very tough, but I've found what looks to be an odds-fixing error (or else, they haven't adjusted the bet, post-draw), on the part of Unibet:
Berdych to win UNDER 3.5 singles matches @ 1.80 (1,80 units) - little chance that he loses to Eschauer/Minar/Hernandez in the opening rounds...but Monaco or a tricky qualifier could, potentially, give him a few problems in R3. However, the deal clincher, for me, is his expected R4 meeting with Federer. Nothing is guaranteed in this business, especially with Federer having had little preparation for this event, but I think Berdych will still have to play an outstanding match (and Federer a sub-par one) for him to progress further than that. Obviously, this is assuming that Federer even gets that far...but I'd be somewhat shocked if he didn't.
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Post by smash on Jan 11, 2008 17:39:49 GMT -5
...and that line is down to 1.62 already! ...should be down to more like 1.40 (the true odds, imo) by morning. ...and gone!
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Post by sLOw on Jan 11, 2008 18:02:16 GMT -5
I hope that we get a good display by the youngstars!
Lean on Kiefer to beat JCF (need to search information of how serious his shoulder injury is).
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Post by lephter on Jan 13, 2008 10:16:35 GMT -5
I hope that we get a good display by the youngstars! Lean on Kiefer to beat JCF (need to search information of how serious his shoulder injury is). Even though it is said he retired in Doha because of a shoulder injury, i believe he had a problem with his leg rather than his shoulder. He suffered a fall while training in Pattaya on the 18th of December and he played through it in the first round in Doha. So that could be the reason more than his shoulder in my opinion
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Post by smash on Jan 13, 2008 10:21:46 GMT -5
Monday action:
02: Baker over Karlovic @ 6.50 (0,35 units) - can't resist a stab at these odds. Baker comes into this match off the best possible preparation...3 straight sets wins, in qualifying, all over more fancied opponents, which is a huge confidence booster. Karlovic looks a little vulnerable at the moment, not only because he lost his only match of 2008 (Doha R1 - C. Rochus), but also because his track record in best-of-5 set matches isn't good...his stamina isn't top notch, and the stifling heat could, potentially, only make matters worse for him. Baker possesses the necessary speed and solidarity from the baseline to be a threat if Ivo leaves any open balls, and, although his serve isn't the strongest in the business, provided he keeps his cool, he should largely avoid trouble. Ivo will, as usual, be virtually impossible to break, but if Baker can extend the sets as long as possible, Ivo is prone to tightening up/getting a little tired, so loose play is very possible. He is good friends with Muzza, so it wouldn't surprise me if the world #9 has passed on a few tips as well. In all, I can't give him less than 35-40% chance (as with virtually any player!), so worth a stab. You may also be interested to know that Unibet are/were offering Baker +2.5 sets @ 2.00. Had I seen that before I took this bet, I probably would have gone for it, but it doesn't stop you doing so!
03: Dlouhy +9.5 games vs Roddick @ 1.95 (1,00 unit) - Dlouhy possesses a big serve and a powerful, offensive game (including good volleys), so, should he execute this relatively well, I don't see Roddick being a constant threat on the return. The Czech can be a bit of a headcase, but 3/6 3/6 3/6, or any equivalent, looks very reasonable imo.
04: Schuettler over Clement @ 1.97 (1,00 unit) - neither man is going to be relying on a big serve for cheap points (although Schuettler's serve is strongest), so it all comes down to the rest of the game. Clement uses intelligent play (baseline consistency and net skills) to give himself an edge, while Schuettler is, generally, happy to rally from the baseline all day. The latter is a style that Clement hasn't been too comfortable with (e.g. defeats to Robredo, Ferrer, Davydenko and Lee - 2006-07), and the Frenchman takes a number of other troubles into this match: (a) a 1-3 head-to-head with the German; (b) a slump in form, which has seen him lose 8 of his last 9 matches, while Schuettler has, lately, been on a bit of a resurgence. Indeed, only a couple of days ago a fan reported that Clement threw a temper tantrum in practice, at Melbourne Park...
05: Acasuso over Mahut @ 2.22 (0,50 units) - both men really are as bad as each other. At 6'3 and rather heavy, Acasuso isn't a great mover, so it is fair to say that Mahut's net-rushing will take away some of his precious timing for the next shot; equally, Acasuso possesses the power in his shots to be able to hit through the net-rushing Frenchman, while some big serving should see him avoid too much trouble on his own delivery. After poor results in their first events of 2008, each will see this as an opportunity to kick-start the year, and I can't give Acasuso less than 45% chance, especially as the slow court surface should give him a split second longer to prepare for Mahut's powerful onslaught.
06: Young over Berrer @ 2.18 (0,50 units) - a little bit concerned that this is Young's first match of 2008, but I'm not going to ignore the match-up issue. The 18-year old American possesses a nice, fluid, baseline game which has the potential to out-manoeuvure his large opponent (as Ollie Rochus managed last week; also Kiefer, Benneteau and Grosjean, last season). However, Berrer's huge serve and booming groundstrokes will be a huge threat, given that Young hasn't had it all his own way against this type of opponent (e.g. 2007 defeats to Querrey and Lopez). But, with the court playing quite slow, one would think that Young will have a split second longer to prepare for his next shot, which could be crucial.
More bets than I usually make for one day's action, but I'm willing to give them a go. If they all go belly up, I will have a bit of a fightback on my hands, but I'll adjust the strategy accordingly, if this happens. Besides, plenty of tennis left in Melbourne, and Tuesday card looks good as well.
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Post by sLOw on Jan 13, 2008 13:01:43 GMT -5
Like the plays J!
I have put up a lay on Murray as always as I expect him to need some time to get into the match, BOL
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Post by limpasterix on Jan 13, 2008 13:24:27 GMT -5
Hi guys, really nice forum! The matches put up Jerus, is that "bets" or are your plan to trade these matches later?
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Post by sLOw on Jan 13, 2008 13:33:20 GMT -5
Hey limpasterix, welcome to the forum glad you like it!
I may answer your question! J usually doesn't trade, correct me if I am wrong...
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boruh
New Member
Posts: 4
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Post by boruh on Jan 13, 2008 14:21:36 GMT -5
Some of female players are injured: Krajicek bad wrist (Morigami 2.2 at oneball bookie), Pennetta 4-5 medical timeouts on the court in her last match (Cibulkova 2.62) Medina has some injures too, Cetkovska ca. 3.7-4.3
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Post by sLOw on Jan 13, 2008 14:31:56 GMT -5
boruh, could you please post the sources? Thanks!
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boruh
New Member
Posts: 4
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Post by boruh on Jan 13, 2008 14:52:12 GMT -5
Krajicek, Pennetta - bettingadvice. Pennetta ? Everybody knew about her medical timeouts. Medina hmmm.. retired in Hobart and didn't perform well in AO in several years.
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